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GMS Allstate Sugar Bowl Odds Pick & Prediction Alabama vs Clemson NCAA Football


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BETTING ODDS:
—spread—— win su ——-over-under
Alabama Crimson Tide -3 -150 ov 47 11-1 SU, 5-7 ATS, 5-7 over/under
Clemson Tigers +3 +130 un 47 12-1 SU, 8-3-2 ATS, 4-9 over/under

This year’s second semifinal game is a rematch of last year’s title game , as the Alabama Crimson Tide goes to New Orleans to take on the top-seeded Clemson Tigers. Last year’s game was an instant classic and Alabama is in search of revenge after the Tigers won the 35-31 thriller.
Alabama had to plead its case, and sweat an Ohio State Big Ten Championship victory to get here, but the Crimson Tide are in the College Football Playoff, and are a favorite over the #1 seed.
Alabama opned at -1.5 but is now laying 3 for the Allstate Sugar Bowl in the Big Easy.

Alabama Crimson Tide
The College Football Playoff committee sent a pretty strong message that it’s not okay to lose to Iowa by 31 points, which is why we’re talking about Alabama here instead of Ohio State.
The Crimson Tide were nowhere near as dominant this season as they were last season with a 10-4-1 ATS mark. Alabama went 11-1 straight up and just 5-7 against the spread.
The downtime should certainly help an Alabama team that did not look good down the stretch with the loss to Auburn in the Iron Bowl, a very close call against Mississippi State, and an uninspired 24-10 win over LSU.

Alabama is the team that Clemson did not want to play. The Tigers shut out Ohio State 31-0 in the semifinal last year. They beat Alabama and outgained Alabama in the National Championship, but this is still the most dangerous team in the country.

GRAPHIC: Dual-threat quarterback Jalen Hurts posted a 15/1 TD/INT ratio and was the second-leading rusher with 768 yards on 137 carries. The Alabama offense was actually more explosive this season under first-year head coach Brian Daboll than last year’s OC Lane Kiffin.
The Crimson Tide went from 6.5 yards per play to 6.9 yards per play. Alabama threw the ball a lot less this season, with just 276 pass attempts against 531 carries.

Clemson Tigers
Clemson rides into this game on a high, but the Tigers really leveled off in the middle of the season with struggles against Wake Forest, Syracuse, and NC State.
The Tigers removed all doubt early and often against Miami in a 38-3 win that propelled Clemson to the top seed with a 12-1 record. The Tigers are 8-3-2 ATS, depending on the numbers you have gotten over the course of the year.

The Clemson Tigers don’t have Deshaun Watson, Mike Williams, Wayne Gallman, Ben Boulware, or Cordrea Tankersley. They do , however have Dabo Swinney, the best coach in the country, bar none.
Swinney’s recent resume included wins over Oklahoma twice, Ohio State twice, 3 straight over Florida State, 4 straight over South Carolina, and, of course, last year’s win over Alabama.
Brent Venables is the highest-paid defensive coordinator in college football for a reason, but Swinney is the best head coach in the sport. He knows how to motivate players with positivity. He’s genuine and that helps the players remain focused.
That’s how you beat a guy like Urban Meyer 31-0. That’s also how you bounce back a few days later and beat Alabama.

GRAPHIC: Kelly Bryant completed 67.4% of his throws with a 13/6 TD/INT ratio. Bryant added 11 rushing touchdowns. Clemson, though, was only 34th in yards per carry and 46th in yards per play.

Clemson did increase from 4.2 to 4.9 yards per carry with speedsters Travis Etienne and Tavien Feaster, who averaged 7.2 and 6.4 yards per carry, respectively.
Clemson has 3 great receivers in Deon Cain, Hunter Renfrow, and Ray-Ray McCloud. Bryant isn’t Watson, but Swinney is the great equalizer in all of this.

Predictions: Alabama Crimson Tide -3
The difference between last year and this year is Deshaun Watson. Kelly Bryant has a lot of potential and upside, but he isn’t the same type of thrower as Watson. Clemson’s defense is better, but Alabama is unrivaled when it comes to winning defensive battles.
The Tide lost last year because they couldn’t contain Watson. Alabama ran the ball just fine on Clemson’s defense and stopped Clemson’s running game. Another play to look at here is the under when totals pop.
The 2015 game between these two ended 45-40. Last year’s game ended 35-31. The Deshaun Watson dynamic , plays a part here as well and Clemson’s defense has more time to prepare for Alabama this time around. We should see a bit of an inflated total based on the first 2 meetings.

Bryan Sheffield AllState Agency


I have lived in Alabama nearly my entire life, and I am proud to call Birmingham home. This is such a wonderful area – with its revitalized downtown, award-winning schools and close proximity to the mountains and beach. My wife, Katy, and I stay very busy with our children’s activities, and you can often find us cheering them on at a basketball game, cross country meet or swimming competition. I also enjoy working out, camping with my family and going to college football games in the fall.

I have been in insurance and financial services since 2002, and I opened the doors to this Allstate office in 2011. My agency’s mission is simple – to help those who are less fortunate because it’s the right thing to do. Our agency is proud to support King’s Home, a shelter for abused and homeless women and children, and Purpose Place Thrift Market, which provides job opportunities for those with special needs.

I believe treating people with courtesy and respect is the only way to do business. We take the time to get to know customers, and it’s very rewarding to help local families protect what matters most to them. I look forward to helping you protect the things that are important – your family, home, car, boat.

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