After months of difficult negotiations – first with the EU, then with Eurosceptics in Parliament – there are only a few hours left before Prime Minister Theresa May presents her Brexit withdrawal agreement for a vote in the House of Commons Tuesday. And with analysts and MPs anticipating a crushing defeat (the latest estimates establish a margin of defeat at around 225 votes), Theresa May is under pressure to call on all her "Project Fear" powers to compel MPs to support her. transaction. although now that MPs have removed some of the control of the process from the prime minister, his threats of "his agreement, no agreement or no Brexit" have been largely stolen. & # 39;


But that does not mean that stories and images about the chaotic fallout of a "no agreement" Brexit still can not fuel the concerns of the election public.

Enter the Guardian, which published a report on Tuesday documenting the phenomenon of novelty Brexit Domperspier Prepper. A journalist from the newspaper traveled to different parts of the country to interview members of Facebook groups and other social media groups dedicated to preparing for worst-case scenarios. The May government offered a nightmarish vision of benefits, complemented by trucks waiting at the border, naked cupboards and supermarket shelves and drug shortages.


In an interesting twist, the Brexit preppers documented by the Guardian do not match the stereotype of the robust individualist with a libertarian bias. it is rather homemakers and working women who fear that their children will not have essential medicines.

Jo Elgarf, a member of the group '48% Preppers' (so named for the percentage of Britons who voted to stay in the European Union), told the Guardian that she had agreed to participate in the story because her doctor had told her she could not stock up on two essential medications that help her child avoid daily seizures.

Because it's not just food for Elgarf and his family. One of her four-year-old twins, Nora, who happily sat on her mother's lap as we speak, is suffering from a rare brain disorder called polymicrogyria. She has many prescriptions, but without two of them – Epilim and Keppra – for her epilepsy, she would have several seizures a day. "She can not do without them," Elgarf said. Epilim and Keppra are imported.

If she could store these drugs, she would. But they are controlled and she can only get one supply at a time. "It should be fine," were informed by doctors and pharmacists. But when your daughter's life is at stake, "it should be okay" is not enough.

Many people who have joined the Facebook group have concerns about drugs, says Elgarf. Among them, there are many diabetics and celiacs. What they need is a little comfort. "We need to know for sure that they have a plan in place for all people who are dependent on drugs." She heard that the most critical drugs may have to be collected in central centers, which would be stored on the list database. provided by GPs.It is clearly something that she thought.

Elgarf also understands why she's talking to me. "So come in April and there is no Epilim in the country, I will say," Where is this guardian? "And you're going to be interested because this little kid you saw in January now has no drugs." Nora is asleep on her mom.

Although she never uses the supplies, most of which could be donated to a local food bank, Elgarf attempted to define his food stock as a generally cautious decision. After all, in Switzerland, the government warns the inhabitants of the Alps to always have two weeks of stocks in case of a snowstorm.

"In Switzerland, people are told to take, I think, two weeks," she says. People are vulnerable, not only because they are more likely to be blocked by snow, but because they have a hard border. Elgarf had a degree in European Studies. And she worked in the food industry. she knows how well it works just in time. Chris Grayling's little truck exercise did not reassure him. The director of the British Association of Pharmaceutical Industries also did not say that a Brexit without agreement "should be avoided at all costs".

A woman who stocked everything from food to clean water to make-up said she was not just preparing for herself, she was doing it for her dog as well.

Helena does not just get ready. She does it for her dog, Charlie. And although she has three months of supplies for herself, she is considering a year for the dog, because she does not see that pet food will be a priority. "I do not really trust the government to take care of me, I certainly do not trust them to take care of my dog," she says. In addition to dog food, the spreadsheet contains treats and toys. Charlie will enjoy a hard Brexit.

Helena sees this as an insurance policy. "Except in case of huge panic, I do not think there is anything left in Asda's shelves," she says. "But I think there is a very good chance that the choice is limited."

Another woman interviewed by the Guardian was an accomplished economist who stated that her knowledge of the operation of supply chains had prompted her to start stockpiling stocks.

In Cambridge, Diane says she also stores, although she does not want to go into details. "I'm a bit cautious when I'm presented as an idiot who has a wardrobe full of things," she says. She agrees, however, to use her last name: she is Diane Coyle, OBE, FACSS, economist, professor of public policy Bennett at the University of Cambridge, former trustee, vice president of the BBC Trust, member of the competition. Commission, winner of the Indigo prize … In short, it is not an idiot.

"The point on the supply chains," she explains, "The products you buy at the supermarket today were on the road last night. Supermarkets do not have warehouses full of things anymore. If we do not agree and the delays increase even by 12 hours – although I see that a new report says it will be much longer – then things will stop being put on the shelf. They will exhaust themselves. And it's not just products we buy from the EU, or fresh produce, it's a lot. "

Coyle knows she can not do without a cup of tea and does not want to miss any tea or coffee because she did not have one before the end of her stay. "What matters to me, what we import is a little insurance."

Some think that the consequences of a Brexit "without agreement" could last longer than expected.

In North Cornwall, Nevine Mann thinks we will leave the EU without an agreement, and that's what she's getting ready for. "We expect it to be pretty horrible for at least two months, hopefully we will calm down and become less horrible over time," says the former midwife. "In the long run, we expect that what is available is more expensive and different."

But if many remain uncertain, British citizens could benefit from greater clarity after Tuesday's vote …


… or they could end up in square one if it is defeated by a wider margin than expected.